Mortgage Rates Fall A Bit, Reversing Course Again

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Mortgage rates reversed course to edge lower this week, with the 30-year fixed rate averaging 6.29%, down from 6.31% the previous week, according to Bankrate’s latest lender survey.

Current mortgage rates

Loan type Current 4 weeks ago One year ago 52-week average 52-week low
30-year 6.29% 6.35% 7.00% 6.75% 6.25%
15-year 5.56% 5.54% 6.19% 5.95% 5.50%
30-year jumbo 6.46% 6.49% 6.97% 6.78% 6.31%

The 30-year fixed mortgages in this week’s survey had an average total of 0.34 discount and origination points. Discount points are a way to lower your mortgage rate, while origination points are fees lenders charge to create, review and process your loan.

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Monthly mortgage payment at today’s rates

The national median family income for 2025 is $104,200, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and the median price of an existing home sold in September 2025 was $415,200, according to the National Association of Realtors. Based on a 20% down payment and a 6.29% mortgage rate, the monthly payment of $2,054 amounts to 24% of the typical family’s monthly income.

“So far, lower rates have not done as much to jumpstart the housing market as some had hoped,” says Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, a listing service in the Mid-Atlantic region. “As we approach the end of the year, listing activity tends to slow and would-be sellers decide to wait until after the new year to list. Ongoing uncertainty in the economy could also mean rising rates through the end of the year. For prospective buyers who are financially ready, right now could be a sweet spot for lower rates and more inventory.”  

What will happen to mortgage rates in the rest of 2025?

The Federal Reserve cut rates last month for the second time this year, trimming its benchmark rate. Mortgage rates are at some of their lowest levels of the year, according to Bankrate’s national survey of lenders. They were at 6.20% in early October of last year before shooting up in late 2024 and early 2025.

While the Fed decided to leave the federal funds rate untouched for most of 2025, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell finally acted at the central bank’s September and October meetings. Even so, fixed mortgage rates are not set directly by the Fed but by investor appetite, particularly for 10-year Treasury bonds. When there’s uncertainty in the market, investors buy Treasury bonds, which in turn drives yields — and, often, mortgage rates — downward.

Meanwhile, the U.S. economy seems to be losing steam. President Donald Trump’s tariff policies have been blamed for an increase in inflation, which moved up to 3% in September, making little progress toward the Fed’s inflation target of 2%. The 10-year Treasury yield was at 4.06% as of Wednesday afternoon, down from about 4.16% a week earlier.

One major question mark is the job market, which has been showing signs of weakness. Another risk is the political climate — the federal government’s shutdown has become the longest such impasse on record, although the stalemate appears headed toward a resolution.

“With the government shutdown about to end, the markets will be keen to get the backlog of economic data for September and October, which will provide insight into the state of the economy,” says Melissa Cohn of William Raveis Mortgage. “Weak jobs data should help to ensure that the Fed will cut rates again at the final meeting of the year.”

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